Monday, October 06, 2008

Dow Intraday

Market commentators this afternoon seemed downright masochistic, as many of them complained that we needed to be down even more after falling close to 800 points today. Then, as the market rallied back in the last hour of the day, those interviewed on CNBC were complaining that it didn't mean capitulation was taking place. But who ever said that capitulation couldn't happen in the middle of the day? And since when was an 800 point drop and a VIX spike close to 60 not considered panic selling?

As shown in the chart below, while it still closed down significantly, the Dow rallied back nicely in the last hour of the day. Investors usually like to see the market sell off in the morning and rally into the close, as the "smart money" trades at the end of the day. It's hard to imagine being happy with a 300+ point decline, but looking at how bad it could have been, we'll take down 350 over down 800 any day.

Djiaintraday

No comments:

Lunch is for wimps

Lunch is for wimps
It's not a question of enough, pal. It's a zero sum game, somebody wins, somebody loses. Money itself isn't lost or made, it's simply transferred from one perception to another.