Sunday, September 29, 2013

Largest 2 Year P/E Expansion since late 90s


We have just witnessed the largest two-year expansion of P/E multiples since the late 90’s. This 'bubble' of optimism, sparked by a repressive Fed policy, combined with historical valuation metrics that are above their long-term averages, implies a correction and a period of consolidation is likely to plague the U.S. equity market during the first half of 2014.

Via Barclays,
The improved outlook is fully discounted in share prices... Given that historical valuation metrics are above their long-term averages it is difficult to make a case to the
contrary.

...and the largest two-year expansion of PE multiples since the late 90’s implies a correction and a period of consolidation is likely to plague the U.S. equity market during the first half of 2014.

No comments:

Lunch is for wimps

Lunch is for wimps
It's not a question of enough, pal. It's a zero sum game, somebody wins, somebody loses. Money itself isn't lost or made, it's simply transferred from one perception to another.