Monday, September 22, 2008

Crazy Move in Front-Month Crude

The difference between the front-month and next-month contract for crude is at a whopping 12%! The front-month contract rolls over today, so a massive short squeeze seems to be taking place. As shown in the second chart below, while very uncommon, this kind of spread has happened in the past. Just another crazy datapoint in a crazy market.

Frontnext

Contractspread

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Lunch is for wimps

Lunch is for wimps
It's not a question of enough, pal. It's a zero sum game, somebody wins, somebody loses. Money itself isn't lost or made, it's simply transferred from one perception to another.