In the current economic uncertainty,
pension funds and other institutional investors are increasingly
turning to liquid hedge fund strategies as they seek to have easy access
to their money in shifting conditions.
In a survey last month of institutional
investors by data provider Preqin, 12% of respondents said that during
this period of volatility they were exclusively looking at liquid
investment strategies in their hedge fund portfolios, while 30% would
not consider funds that have a lock-up period.
Olivier Cassin, head of research and development
at investment consultant bfinance, said: “When there’s uncertainty in
the market and heavy government intervention on monetary and fiscal
policy, for most of our clients, access to capital outweighs the
illiquidity premium that comes from locking up capital. Right now
investors desire liquidity far more than the opportunity cost of
potentially missing out on a few percentage points of performance.”
Greg Clerkson, director of alternative
investments at consultant Russell Investments, said that while there
were good opportunities to invest in credit hedge funds, investors were
not willing to lock up their money in the face of the current economic
uncertainty. He said: “If you go into more liquid strategies such as
global macro or managed futures, you can get your money back quickly
and, historically, both have shown some degree of equity offset. It’s
optionality as much as anything. Historically, it has worked and if it
doesn’t work you can get out.”
Economic trends
Managed futures strategies use computer
models to try to capture trends in a range of global markets. Global
macro is a strategy that trades instruments such as currencies, interest
rates, foreign exchange and bonds to take advantage of broad economic
trends.
Guy Saintfiet, UK head of liquid alternatives at
Aon Hewitt, said that for the past 12 months his firm has been advising
clients to add more exposure to global macro and managed futures. He
said this was driven by investment opportunity, not liquidity and added:
“We believe that these strategies are best placed to capitalise on an
environment where markets are driven by high-level newsflow and are not
trading on bottom-up fundamentals.”
Saintfiet said that since the financial crisis,
pension funds had been focusing on more appropriate liquidity rather
than more liquidity. He said that their reaction to Ucits funds, a
regulated structure that gives clients access to their money at least
twice a month, reflected this. Saintfiet said: “We’ve had very little
interest in Ucits from pension funds. In return for the higher
liquidity, you typically give up quite a lot of return potential and
they don’t want to make that trade-off.”
With assets in the roughly $2 trillion hedge
fund industry reaching new highs, the composition of the investor base
has changed significantly since the financial crisis. Preqin estimates
that 61% of hedge fund capital comes from institutional investors,
compared with 45% before the crisis.
Three quarters of respondents to Preqin’s
survey said they needed greater liquidity in their hedge fund portfolios
in the post-financial crisis period than they had needed previously.
According to Robert Howie, head of alternative
investment at consultant Mercer, this is unsurprising. He said: “I can
see why there is a focus on liquidity. During the crisis, clauses were
suddenly invoked that were very vague and many investors found
themselves dealing with gates, side-pockets and suspended redemptions.”
Howie said that investors should look to see
that the fund’s liquidity matches its underlying instruments. He said:
“Moreover, liquidity is not something that is constant. Investors need
to understand what managers will do if their instruments and markets
become illiquid.”
Clerkson at Russell said that investors had
become much stricter on insisting that the investment mandate should fit
the fund’s liquidity terms. He said: “We will give you the discretion
but we will put the rules around it. There’s very little benefit of the
doubt to be had. Investors have become less tolerant of managers going
outside their mandates. There’s very little appetite for a supposedly
liquid product with an option to go illiquid without the investor having
the call.”
From a manager’s perspective, pension fund
capital is attractive because it is perceived to be stable and long term
in its mindset. But consultants said that pension funds were keen to
ensure that their long-term outlook did not leave them at a
disadvantage. Aon’s Saintfiet said: “Institutional investors need to
worry about being liquidity providers to a failing business or to other
investors with a shorter-term time horizon. During the crisis, people
who were locked in for longer ended up holding the baby and the cost for
them was much higher than the fee discount they received.”
Investor lock-in
Saintfiet said that pension funds were avoiding
managers looking to protect their businesses with overly harsh liquidity
terms. He said: “Our focus is on identifying the best managers with
appropriate liquidity and a stable client base of preferably
institutional investors. There has to be a good reason to lock in your
money for longer. It is not really good enough when it’s just about
protecting a firm from redemptions and being the last one out.”
Clerkson said: “An investor-level lock is
perceived as something that only benefits the manager. Sometimes there
is a good reason for it but investors need to understand the rationale.”
Is there a danger that investors are missing
out on some good investment opportunities by insisting on investing in
liquid strategies? Cassin at bfinance said: “In dislocated markets,
there are a lot of opportunities for those with cash and time on their
hands.”
But he said that, while pension funds are mainly
investing their hedge fund allocations in liquid investments, elsewhere
they are more willing to forgo access to their money and gain exposure
to the greater returns this can bring. He said: “At an overall portfolio
level, we’re seeing a search for yield that is leading investors to
look at real assets such as infrastructure, real estate and some private
equity. We also see many attractive direct and secondary opportunities
at the moment.”
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