There has been quite a bit of chatter recently about the widening spread between the yield on 10-Year Treasuries and the dividend yield for stocks. Currently, the 10-Year Treasury Note is yielding 3.84% versus the Dow's dividend yield of roughly 2.6%. One of the arguments for stocks at the bottom of the bear earlier this year was that they were yielding more than Treasuries. As shown below, that hadn't happened in nearly 50 years. The consensus for 2010 is that stocks will rise (dividend yields lower) while the 10-Year yield will rise as well. This would make the spread tick lower into the "red zone" in the chart below. You be the judge on whether this will be a negative for stocks or not.
The richest one percent of this country owns half our country's wealth, five trillion dollars. One third of that comes from hard work, two thirds comes from inheritance, interest on interest accumulating to widows and idiot sons and what I do, stock and real estate speculation. It's bullshit. You got ninety percent of the American public out there with little or no net worth. I create nothing. I own.
Wednesday, December 30, 2009
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