Monday, July 21, 2008

A Buy the Loser Rally

lf you didn't own the dregs of the S&P 500 going into the rally that started last Wednesday, chances are you have underperformed over the last few days. We broke the S&P 500 into deciles (50 stocks in each decile) based on stock performance from the 5/19 high to the 7/15 low and calculated the average performance of stocks in each decile since the 7/15 low. The average stock in the S&P 500 has risen 6.44% since then. The 50 stocks that were down the most from 5/19-7/15 are up 26.4%. Conversely, the 50 stocks that held up the best during the recent market decliens are only up an average of 0.99%. Clearly, this has been a buy the losers rally.

Spxdecile

Below we highlight the 20 worst performing stocks from the 5/19 top to the 7/15 low. As shown, they are up a whopping 37% since 7/15. Unfortunately, not many people still owned shares in them last week.

Worststocks

No comments:

Lunch is for wimps

Lunch is for wimps
It's not a question of enough, pal. It's a zero sum game, somebody wins, somebody loses. Money itself isn't lost or made, it's simply transferred from one perception to another.