Monday, May 19, 2008

P/E Divergence Between Growth and Value Stocks -- The Wrong Way

Recently, growth and value stocks have seen a big divergence in valuations. One index has an as-reported P/E ratio of 33.66, while the other is at 18.92. The only problem is that it's the value stocks that have the 33.6 P/E, while the growth stocks have the 18.9 P/E. Below we highlight a historical chart of trailing 12-month P/E ratios for the S&P 500 Growth and Value indices. As shown, the Value P/E has spiked significantly in recent months, as supposed value names that typically pay high dividends (financials, etc.) have seen a big drop in earnings. This isn't the first time the divergence has happened, however. After growth valuations spiked during the tech bubble, value stocks followed with their own surge in P/E ratios in late '01 and '02. Ironically, growth stocks have held their value much better than value stocks have in 2008.

Growthvalue_2

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Lunch is for wimps

Lunch is for wimps
It's not a question of enough, pal. It's a zero sum game, somebody wins, somebody loses. Money itself isn't lost or made, it's simply transferred from one perception to another.