Thursday, December 20, 2007

A Gaze into The Crystal Ball


















ETF Trends goes over some of his predictions for 2007. So got some wheels spinning. How about some predictions here for 2008?


  1. The CBOE introduces a new volatility product "Time VIXes" that measure and trade volatility in 10 minute increments for each block of the day. Goldman issues a report saying their work shows that if you sell the VIX 2:50' PM's and buy the VIX 10:40 AM's every day, you'll make 27% annualized, or 1% after commisions.

  2. Several other new ETF's hit the market. But in no way will the new "Shipping", "Solar", "Chinese Solar", and "Chinese Shipping, Solar, Gaming and/or Navigation in Motion" trackers signal tops in their areas.

  3. Inflation (ex-oil, food, coffee drinks, hotels, cars, air fare, clothes, and anything with a commodity in it) remains dormant.

  4. CNBC's Stable of Punditry produces a consensus of an 8-10% return in 2008. But be forewarned; 2008 will be a Stock Pickers market, unlike years past where indiscriminant investing ruled the roost.

  5. Abby Jo (not shown) remains bullish for the whole year.

  6. In an effort to spruce up Mad Money ratings, Cramer's cousin Oliver becomes a recurring character.

  7. French Anchorwoman Melissa Theuriau replaces Katie Couric, despite only speaking French. No one complains.

  8. Time Warner buys Players Club magazine for $3 billion. 50% owner Lenny Dykstra is now on the Forbes 500 list for 2008. He's also Time's "Man of The Year".

  9. Bear Stearns CEO Jimmy Cayne uses the word "Dude" in the Q1 conference call 424 times, breaking his own seemingly unreachable record, set in Q3 of 2006.

  10. President-Elect Bloomberg announces he will sign a bill making taxes optional for all his fellow alumni of our nation's finest institution of higher learning, THE Johns Hopkins University.

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Lunch is for wimps

Lunch is for wimps
It's not a question of enough, pal. It's a zero sum game, somebody wins, somebody loses. Money itself isn't lost or made, it's simply transferred from one perception to another.